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PZ 04-03-24 Agenda with Associated Documents MEETING AGENDA Planning & Zoning Commission REGULAR SESSION PLANNING & ZONING COMMISSION April 3, 2024 HAL BALDWIN MUNICIPAL COMPLEX COUNCIL CHAMBERS 1400 SCHERTZ PARKWAY BUILDING #4 SCHERTZ, TEXAS 78154 CITY OF SCHERTZ CORE VALUES Do the right thing Do the best you can Treat others the way you want to be treated Work cooperatively as a team AGENDA WEDNESDAY, APRIL 3, 2024 at 6:00 p.m. The Planning and Zoning Commission will hold the regularly scheduled meeting at 6:00p.m., Wednesday, April 3, 2024, at the City Council Chambers. In lieu of attending the meeting in person, residents will have the opportunity to watch the meeting via live stream on the City's YouTube Channel. 1.CALL TO ORDER 2.SEAT ALTERNATE TO ACT IF REQUIRED 3.HEARING OF RESIDENTS This time is set aside for any person who wishes to address the Planning and Zoning Commission. Each person should fill out the Speaker’s register prior to the meeting. Presentations should be limited to no more than three (3) minutes. Discussion by the Commission of any item not on the agenda shall be limited to statements of specific factual information given in response to any inquiry, a recitation of existing policy in response to an inquiry, and/or a proposal to place the item on a future agenda. The presiding officer, during the Hearing of Residents portion of the agenda, will call on those persons who have signed up to speak in the order they have registered. 4.CONSENT AGENDA: A.Minutes for the March 6, 2024 Regular Meeting. 5.PUBLIC HEARING: The Planning and Zoning Commission will hold a public hearing related to zone change requests, specific use permit requests, and Unified Development Code Amendments within this agenda. The public hearing will be opened to receive a report from staff, the applicant, the adjoining property owners affected by the applicant’s request, and any other interested persons. Upon completion, the public hearing will be closed. The Commission will discuss and consider the application, and may request additional information from staff or the applicant, if required. After deliberation, the Commission is asked to consider and act upon the following requests and make a recommendation to the City Council if necessary. B.PLZC20240040 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone Planning & Zoning April 3, 2024 Page 1 of 2 B.PLZC20240040 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 1.8 acres of land from Pre-Development District (PRE) to Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A), known as Bexar County Property Identification Number 308385, also known as 12396 Schaefer Road, City of Schertz, Bexar County, Texas. C.PLZC20240050 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 3 acres of land from Pre-Development District (PRE) to Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A), a portion of Bexar County Property Identification Number 308402, also known as 11627 Voges Pass, City of Schertz, Texas, Bexar County, Texas. 6.REQUESTS AND ANNOUNCEMENTS: A.Requests by Commissioners to place items on a future Planning and Zoning Agenda B.Announcements by Commissioners City and community events attended and to be attended Continuing education events attended and to be attended C.Announcements by City Staff. City and community events attended and to be attended. 7.INFORMATION AVAILABLE IN THE PLANNING AND ZONING COMMISSION PACKETS- NO DISCUSSION TO OCCUR A.Current Projects and City Council Status Update 8.ADJOURNMENT OF THE REGULAR MEETING CERTIFICATION I, Samuel Haas, Senior Planner, of the City of Schertz, Texas, do hereby certify that the above agenda was posted on the official bulletin boards on this the 29th day of March, 2024 at 11:00 a.m., which is a place readily accessible to the public at all times and that said notice was posted in accordance with chapter 551, Texas Government Code. Samuel Haas Samuel Haas, Senior Planner I certify that the attached notice and agenda of items to be considered by the Schertz Planning & Zoning Commission was removed from the official bulletin board on _____day of _______________, 2024. _______________title:_____________ This facility is accessible in accordance with the Americans with Disabilities Act. Handicapped parking spaces are available. If you require special assistance or have a request for sign interpretative services or other services please call 619-1030 at least 24 hours in advance of meeting. The Planning and Zoning Commission for the City of Schertz reserves the right to adjourn into executive session at any time during the course of this meeting to discuss any of the matters listed above, as authorized by the Texas Open Meetings Act. Executive Sessions Authorized: This agenda has been reviewed and approved by the City’s legal counsel and presence of any subject in any Executive Session portion of the agenda constitutes a written interpretation of Texas Government Code Chapter 551 by legal counsel for the governmental body and constitutes an opinion by the attorney that the items discussed therein may be legally discussed in the closed portion of the meeting considering available opinions of a court of record and opinions of the Texas Attorney General known to the attorney. This provision has been added to this agenda with the intent to meet all elements necessary to satisfy Texas Government Code Chapter 551.144(c) and the meeting is conducted by all participants in reliance on this opinion. Planning & Zoning April 3, 2024 Page 2 of 2 PLANNING AND ZONING COMMISSION MEETING: 04/03/2024 Agenda Item 4 A TO:Planning and Zoning Commission PREPARED BY:Emily Delgado, Planning Manager SUBJECT:Minutes for the March 6, 2024 Regular Meeting. Attachments Minutes for the March 6, 2024 Regular P&Z Meeting - DRAFT D R A F T PLANNING AND ZONING MINUTES March 6, 2024 The Schertz Planning and Zoning Commission convened on March 6, 2024 at 6:00 p.m. at the Municipal Complex, Council Chambers, 1400 Schertz Parkway Building #4, Schertz, Texas. Present: Glen Outlaw, Chairman; Richard Braud, Vice Chairman; Roderick Hector, Commissioner; Danielle Craig, Commissioner; Tamara Brown, Commissioner; John Carbon, Commissioner Absent: Judy Goldick, Commissioner; Patrick McMaster, Commissioner Staff present:Brian James, Deputy City Manager Lesa Wood, Director of Planning & Community Development Kathy Woodlee, City Engineer Larry Busch, Director of Public Works John Nowak, Assistant City Engineer Emily Delgado, Planning Manager Samuel Haas, Senior Planner Daisy Marquez, Planner Tiffany Danhof, Administrative Assistant Robert Westbrook, Council Liaison 1.CALL TO ORDER / ROLL CALL THE REGULAR PLANNING & ZONING COMMISSION MEETING Chairman Mr. Outlaw called the meeting to order at 6:13 P.M. 2.SEAT ALTERNATE TO ACT IF REQUIRED Danielle Craig was seated as an alternate. 3.HEARING OF RESIDENTS This time is set aside for any person who wishes to address the Planning and Zoning Commission. Each person should fill out the Speaker’s register prior to the meeting. Presentations should be limited to no more than three (3) minutes. Discussion by the Commission of any item not on the agenda shall be limited to statements of specific factual information given in response to any inquiry, a recitation of existing policy in response to an inquiry, and/or a proposal to place the item on a future agenda. The presiding officer, during the Hearing of Residents portion of the agenda, will call on those persons who have signed up to speak in the order they have registered. Barbara Wargo- 3513 Blue Moon Spur John Clark- 347 Rustic Willow Kip Holmstead- 3560 Irish Creek Rd Lynn Bauer- 3604 Sunglade Ranch Carol Davis-3337 Wimbledon Dr David Burtch- 139 Hidden Knoll 4.CONSENT AGENDA: 4.CONSENT AGENDA: A.Minutes for the February 7, 2024, Regular Meeting. Motioned by Vice Chairman Richard Braud, seconded by Commissioner Tamara Brown Vote: 6 - 0 Passed 5.PUBLIC HEARING: The Planning and Zoning Commission will hold a public hearing related to zone change requests and replats within this agenda. The public hearing will be opened to receive a report from staff, the applicant, the adjoining property owners affected by the applicant’s request, and any other interested persons. Upon completion, the public hearing will be closed. The Commission will discuss and consider the application, and may request additional information from staff or the applicant, if required. After deliberation, the Commission is asked to consider and act upon the following requests and make a recommendation to the City Council if necessary. A.PLZC20240004 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 44.3 acres of land from Single-Family Residential District (R-2) to Planned Development District (PDD), known as Guadalupe County Property Identification Number 6460, located approximately 78 feet south of the intersection of Savannah Drive and Irish Creek Road, City of Schertz, Guadalupe County, Texas. Mrs. Marquez and the applicant provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 7:04 P.M. Tom Troutner- 3612 Sharp Hill Kip Homstead- 3560 Irish Creek Rd. Angela Chapel-4151 Walnut Crest Francisco Rosas- 3129 Malbac Dr. Michelle York- 3601 Sunglade Bradley Parker- 323 Rustic Willow Pablo Rosales- 246 Rustic Willow Barbra Wargo- 3513 Blooming Spur Mark Juarez- 237 Hawks Meadows Jennifer Shumaker- 3819 Misty Quail Tsai Ping- 3528 Irish Creek Keith Patterson- 364 Silver River Richard David Daniels- 3524 Enchanted Farm Amy Cappiello- 368 Silver River Elsie Houston- 3505 Blue Moon Spur Darlene Pantoja- 3017 Malbac Dr. Christina Carrillo- 444 Fawn Pass Tammy Cleveland- 3517 Enchanted Farm Kristi Duffett-3400 Woodland Farms Marie Mendez- 3626 Drywood Ranch Melanie Cofresi- 449 Silver Buckle Darren Harvick- 409 Round Creek Jason Witherspoon- 3505 Willow Ranch Thomas Trounter- 3612 Sharp Hill Robert Henkel- 3520 Sunglade Hill Carlonia Rosa-HOA Board Member for Kensington Ranch John Clark- 347 Rustic Willow; HOA President for Kensington Ranch Lynn Bauer- 3604 Sunglade Ranch Karina Castaneda- 419 Walnut Crest Christina Carrillo- 444 Fawn Pass Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 8:18 P.M. Motioned by Commissioner Danielle Craig, seconded by Commissioner Tamara Brown to recommend disapproval to the City Council Vote: 5 - 1 Passed NAY: Vice Chairman Richard Braud B.PLZC20230283 - Hold a public hearing, consider and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 7.7 acres of land, a portion of Bexar County Property Identification Number 339286, to Single-Family Residential District (R-1), also known as 8215 Trainer Hale Road, City of Schertz, Bexar County, Texas. Recess at 9:30 P.M. and resumed at 9:36 P.M. Mrs. Marquez provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 9:44 P.M. Keith Morris- 7004 Hallie Path Daryle Robbison- 6998 Hallie Path Leslie Pratt- 6986 Hallie Path Johnathan Cruz- 6992 Hallie Path Ben Padilla- 6974 Hallie Path Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 9:53 P.M. Motioned by Vice Chairman Richard Braud, seconded by Commissioner John Carbon to recommend approval to the City Council Vote: 4 - 2 Passed NAY: Commissioner Roderick Hector Commissioner Tamara Brown C.PLZC20230207 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 3.6 acres of land from Single-Family Residential District (R-1) to Neighborhood Services District (NS), known as Guadalupe County Property Identification Number 42797, more specifically described as 3517 FM 3009, City of Schertz, Guadalupe County, Texas. Mrs. Marquez and the applicant provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 10:09 P.M. No one spoke. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 10:10 P.M. Motioned by Commissioner Roderick Hector, seconded by Commissioner Danielle Craig to recommend approval to the City Council Vote: 6 - 0 Passed D.PLZC20240007 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 11.7 acres of land from General Business District (GB) to General Business District -2 (GB-2), known as Comal County Property Identification Numbers 78053 and 116266, Guadalupe County Property Identification Numbers 68327, 68329, 114080, and 114082 generally located 500 feet west of the intersection of FM 2252 and IH-35 Frontage Road, City of Schertz, Guadalupe and Comal County, Texas. Mrs. Marquez and the applicant provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 10:28 P.M. No one spoke. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 10:28 P.M. Motioned by Commissioner John Carbon, seconded by Commissioner Tamara Brown to recommend disapproval to the City Council Vote: 4 - 2 Passed NAY: Vice Chairman Richard Braud Commissioner Roderick Hector E.PLSPU20240009 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a Specific Use Permit to allow Portable Building Sales in General Business District-2 (GB-2) on approximately 11.7 acres of land known as Comal County Property Identification Numbers 78053 and 116266, Guadalupe County Property Identification Numbers 68327, 68329, 114080, and 114082, generally located 500 feet west of the intersection of FM 2252 and IH-35 Frontage Road, City of Schertz, Guadalupe and Comal County, Texas. Mrs. Marquez provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 11:19 P.M. Claire Carillo- 5370 Prue Red. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 11:22 P.M. Motioned by Commissioner Danielle Craig, seconded by Commissioner John Carbon to recommend disapproval to the City Council Vote: 4 - 2 Passed NAY: Chairman Glen Outlaw Commissioner Roderick Hector F.The Planning and Zoning Commission prior to hearing and acting on item 5-F heard agenda items 5-I and 5-J. PLUDC20230221 - Hold a public hearing, workshop and discussion and possible action to make a recommendation on amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 1 - General Provisions, Article 4 - Procedures and Applications, and Article 14 - Transportation. Mrs. Woodlee and Mr. Novak provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 12:23 A.M. No one spoke. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 12:24 A.M. Motioned by Commissioner Roderick Hector, seconded by Commissioner Tamara Brown to recommend approval to City Council Vote: 6 - 0 Passed G.PLUDC20240044 - Hold a public hearing, workshop and discussion and possible action to make a recommendation on amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 5 - Zoning District and Article 9 - Site Design Standards. Mr. Haas provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 12:30 A.M. No one spoke. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 12:30 A.M. Motioned by Vice Chairman Richard Braud, seconded by Commissioner Roderick Hector to recommend approval to the City Council Vote: 6 - 0 Passed H.PLUDC20240045 - Hold a public hearing, workshop and discussion and possible action to make a recommendation on amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 5 - Zoning District and Article 16 - Definitions. Mr. Haas provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 12:34 A.M. No one spoke. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 12:34 A.M Motioned by Commissioner Roderick Hector, seconded by Vice Chairman Richard Braud to recommend approval to the City Council Vote: 6 - 0 Passed I.PLUDC20240048 - Hold a public hearing, workshop and discussion and possible action to make a recommendation on amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 5 - Zoning District. Mr. Haas provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 11:39 P.M. Ken Brown- 100 N.E. Loop 410 Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 11:43 P.M. Motioned by Commissioner John Carbon, seconded by Vice Chairman Richard Braud to recommend approval with conditions to the City Council Vote: 5 - 1 Passed NAY: Commissioner Roderick Hector J.PLCPA20240035 - Hold a public hearing, workshop and discussion and possible action to J.PLCPA20240035 - Hold a public hearing, workshop and discussion and possible action to make a recommendation for a Comprehensive Plan Amendment. Mr. Haas and the applicant provided a presentation. Mr. Outlaw opened the public hearing at 12:04 A.M. No one spoke. Mr. Outlaw closed the public hearing at 12:05 A.M. Motioned by Commissioner Roderick Hector, seconded by Vice Chairman Richard Braud to recommend approval to the City Council with clarification for single-family residential Vote: 6 - 0 Passed 6.REQUESTS AND ANNOUNCEMENTS: A.Requests by Commissioners to place items on a future Planning and Zoning Agenda There were no requests by Commissioners. B.Announcements by Commissioners City and community events attended and to be attended Continuing education events attended and to be attended There were no announcements by Commissioners. C.Announcements by City Staff. City and community events attended and to be attended. There were no announcements by City Staff. A.Current Projects and City Council Status Update 7.ADJOURNMENT OF THE REGULAR MEETING Chairman Mr. Outlaw adjourned the regular meeting at 12:40 P.M. ____________________________________ Chairman, Planning and Zoning Commission ______________________________ Recording Secretary, City of Schertz PLANNING AND ZONING COMMISSION MEETING: 04/03/2024 Agenda Item 5 B TO:Planning and Zoning Commission PREPARED BY:Daisy Marquez, Planner SUBJECT:PLZC20240040 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 1.8 acres of land from Pre-Development District (PRE) to Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A), known as Bexar County Property Identification Number 308385, also known as 12396 Schaefer Road, City of Schertz, Bexar County, Texas. BACKGROUND The applicant is requesting to rezone approximately 1.8 acres of land from Pre-Development District (PRE) to Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A). The subject property is currently a single-family home. On March 20, 2024, ten (10) public hearing notices were mailed to the surrounding property owners within a 200-foot boundary of the subject property. At the time of the staff report, one (1) response in favor, zero (0) responses neutral, and zero (0) responses in opposition have been received. A public hearing notice will be published in the "San Antonio Express" prior to the City Council Meeting. Additionally, one (1) sign was placed on the property. Subject Property: Zoning Land Use Existing Pre-Development District (PRE)Single Family Home Proposed Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A)Single Family Home Adjacent Properties: Zoning Land Use North Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ)Single Family Home South Pre-Development District (PRE)Undeveloped East Pre-Development District (PRE)Undeveloped West Right-Of-Way Schaefer Road GOAL The proposed zone change is for approximately 1.8 acres of land to Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A). The applicant wishes to rezone their property to be able to pull future permits for their residential home. COMMUNITY BENEFIT It is the City’s desire to promote safe, orderly, efficient development and ensure compliance with the City’s vision of future growth. SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDED ACTION To the north of the property there are single-family homes within the City of Schertz Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ). To the east and south, the property is Pre-Development District (PRE) and is used for agriculture and is undeveloped. To the west of the property is Right-of-Way, also known as Schaefer Road. When evaluating zone changes, staff uses criteria listed in UDC Section 21.5.4.D. The criteria are listed below. 1. Whether the proposed zoning change or zoning map amendment implements the policies of the adopted Comprehensive Land Plan, including the land use classification of the property on the Future Land Use Map; The proposed Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A) does implement the policies of the adopted Comprehensive Land Plan. The Comprehensive Land Use Plan classifies the subject property and area as Complete Neighborhood. The intent of the Complete Neighborhood land use designation is a general area characterized by a mix of housing options with supporting land uses, but when considering the appropriateness of housing density, factors such as roadway classification and conflicts among land uses should be considered. The proposed Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) is compatible with the Comprehensive Land Use Plan designation as per its statement of purpose and intent from UDC Section 21.5.5. The intention of the Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) is to provide a district suitable for minimum half-acre lots where development may be premature. The surrounding properties include single-family homes and some agricultural uses that are within the City of Schertz Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ), with some still maintaining Pre-Development District (PRE) since their annexation. 2. Whether the proposed zoning change or zoning map amendment promotes the health, safety, or general welfare of the City and the safe, orderly, efficient and healthful development of the City; As part of promoting health, safety, and welfare, the City should encourage development compatible with surrounding uses utilizing standards and transitional uses to alleviate negative impacts. The chosen Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) dimensional and development standards as stated in Section 21.5.7.A of the Unified Development Code, are compatible with what is in the surrounding area. Table 21.5.7.A Dimensional Requirements Residential Zoning Districts Minimum Lot Size Dimensions Minimum Yard Setback (Ft)Miscellaneous Lot Requirements Code Zoning District Area Sq. Ft. Width Ft. Depth Ft. Front Ft. Side Ft. Rear Ft. Minimum Off-Street Parking Spaces Max Height Ft. Max Impervious Coverage R-A Single-Family Residential/ Agriculture 21,780 --25 25 25 2 35 50% 3. Whether the uses permitted by the proposed change in zoning district classification and the standards applicable to such uses will be appropriate in the immediate area of the land to be reclassified; Yes, the permitted uses in Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) are appropriate within the immediate area of the land to be reclassified. The purpose and intent of the Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) is to provide areas in which agricultural land may be held in such use for as long is practical and reasonable, with minimum half-acre lots, and where development may be premature due to lack of utilities, capacity or services, as per UDC Section 21.5.5. 4. Whether the proposed change is in accord with any existing or proposed plans for providing public schools, streets, water supply, sanitary sewers or other public services and utlities to the area; The entry point for the subject property is on Schaefer Road. Schaefer Road is a Secondary Arterial with a 90-foot Right-of-Way. To the south of the subject property, Raf Burnette is a Planned Secondary Arterial with a 90-foot Right-of-Way and is also known as the planned East & West Connector. The subject property is currently serviced by the City of Schertz for water. A public hearing notice was mailed to Schertz-Cibolo-Universal City Independent School District to notify them of the proposed zone change. Included as attachments are the most recent Demographic Report 3Q23 for SCUCISD as well as the most recent 10-Year Campus Forecasting Presentation. The City of Schertz Police, Fire and EMS Departments have indicated they do not have any concerns regarding the proposed rezoning requests or their ability to provide services. 5. Whether there have been environmental and/or economical changes which warrant the requested change; When the property was annexed, the property was established as Pre-Development District (PRE). The intent of the Pre-Development District (PRE) is to be a temporary designation for existing uses or newly annexed properties. The applicant would like to pull building permits for their home and since Pre-Development District (PRE) is simply a placeholder, a zone change is required for the applicant. 6. Whether there is an error in the original zoning of the property for which a change is requested; There was no error in the original zoning of the property. The property has been Pre-Development District (PRE) since it was annexed into the City of Schertz in 2011 with Ordinance 11-A-22. 7. Whether all of the applicant's back taxes owed to the City have been paid in full (no application will receive final approval until all back taxes are paid in full); and, This does not impact the Planning and Zoning Commission recommendation to City Council. 8. Whether other criteria are met, which, at the discretion of the Planning and Zoning Commission and the City Council, are deemed relevant and important in the consideration of the amendment. Staff has ensured all UDC requirements have been met for the proposed zone change, and at this time have not received any special consideration from the Planning and Zoning Commission or the City Council. RECOMMENDATION The proposed zone change to Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) is compatible with the Comprehensive Land Use Plan and is appropriate within the immediate area of the subject property, thus Staff recommends approval of PLZC20240040. Attachments Aerial Exhibit Public Hearing Notice Map Public Hearing Responses Zoning Exhibit SCUCISD 10 Year Campus Forecasting SCUCISD Demographic Report FORECASTING CONSIDERATIONS • • • • • • 13,540 14,056 14,586 15,081 15,465 15,615 15,768 15,972 15,673 15,890 15,521 15,146 14,864 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 20,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024-P # O F S T U D E N T S DISTRICT ENROLLMENT HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT 1.0% growth per year (153 students per year) 1.3% loss per year (-195 students per year) 3.4% growth per year (481 students per year) HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT BY CAMPUS LEVEL 5,261 5,446 5,512 5,716 5,783 5,811 5,899 5,547 5,596 5,406 5,110 4,895 2,125 2,211 2,326 2,253 2,252 2,344 2,445 2,375 2,345 2,200 2,176 2,226 2,210 2,211 2,341 2,421 2,453 2,403 2,363 2,467 2,605 2,536 2,442 2,324 4,460 4,718 4,902 5,075 5,127 5,210 5,265 5,284 5,344 5,379 5,418 5,419 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024-P # O F S T U D E N T S CAMPUS LEVEL ENROLLMENT Elementary Intermediate Junior High High School ENROLLMENT HISTORY BY LEVEL –OCTOBER • • • • • • • STUDENT TRANSFERS PEIMS YEAR TRANSFER IN TRANSFER OUT DIFFERENCE 2012 216 681 -465 2013 212 704 -492 2014 244 647 -403 2015 302 702 -400 2016 297 907 -610 2017 290 1061 -771 2018 304 1079 -775 2019 296 1283 -987 2020 300 1591 -1291 2021 317 1981 -1664 2022 308 2695 -2387 2023 Data available in March First Year of Founders Charter School First Year of School of Science and Technology First Year of Legacy Traditional School STUDENT TRANSFERS IN VS. OUT 216 212 244 302 297 290 304 296 300 317 308 681 704 647 702 907 1,061 1,079 1,283 1,591 1,981 2,695 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 # O F S T U D E N T S STUDENT TRANSFERS IN vs OUT TRANSFER IN TRANSFER OUT School of Science and Technology Pre-K –8th Grade Legacy Traditional Pre-K –8th Grade Founders Academy K –12th Grade MAIN DESTINATIONS FOR TRANSFERS OUT 444 472 551 529 504 272 328 356 365 414 34 43 119 159 192 16 24 71 285 367 52 106 229 0 463 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 # O F S T U D E N T S TRANSFER DESTINATIONS Randolph ISD Founders Academy Great Hearts School of Science and Technology Judson ISD Legacy Traditional SO, HOW MANY STUDENTS WILL WE HAVE IN THE FUTURE? 14,056 15,081 15,615 15,972 15,890 15,146 14,661 14,217 14,007 14,036 14,162 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 20,000 # O F S T U D E N T S DISTRICT HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT AND PROJECTIONS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS o o o o PEIMS YEAR PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GROWTH (DECLINE) PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2023 15,146 -375 -2.42% 2024-P 14,864 -282 -1.86% 2025-P 14,661 -203 -1.37% 2026-P 14,451 -210 -1.43% 2027-P 14,217 -234 -1. 62% 2028-P 14,073 -144 -1.01% 2029-P 14,007 -66 -0.47% 2030-P 14,017 10 0.07% 2031-P 14,036 19 0.14% 2032-P 14,059 22 0.16% 2033-P 14,162 103 0.73% PEIMS YEAR PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GROWTH (DECLINE) PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2023 15,146 -375 -2.44% 2024-P 14,864 -282 -1.86% 2025-P 14,661 -203 -1.37% 2026-P 14,451 -210 -1.43% 2027-P 14,217 -234 -1. 62% 2028-P 14,073 -144 -1.01% 2029-P 14,007 -66 -0.47% 2030-P 14,017 10 0.07% 2031-P 14,036 19 0.14% 2032-P 14,059 22 0.16% 2033-P 14,162 103 0.73% ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS o o o WHY HAS IT BECOME SO HARD TO PROJECT ENROLLMENT? o o o o o o FORECASTING CONSIDERATIONS • • • • •CAMPUS CAPACITY UNDERSTANDING CAMPUS CAPACITY o o o o o o o o o PLANNING USING OUR MAXIMUM CAPACITY o CAPACITY RELIEF TOOLS o o o o o o o o o ELEMENTARY CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 CIBOLO VALLEY EL 891 1,200 761 657 611 587 589 594 594 608 617 620 627 637 % Max Capacity 63%55%51%49%49%49%49%51%51%52%52%53% GREEN VALLEY EL 673 924 586 533 497 482 469 497 506 524 535 537 535 529 % Max Capacity 63%58%54%52%51%54%55%57%58%58%58%57% NORMA PASCHAL EL 673 924 603 625 591 582 564 544 546 559 569 574 580 585 % Max Capacity 65%68%64%63%61%59%59%60%62%62%63%63% ROSE GARDEN EL 891 1,200 899 896 882 878 891 923 957 999 1,046 1,075 1,104 1,131 % Max Capacity 75%75%74%73%74%77%80%83%87%90%92%94% SCHERTZ EL 675 1,102 671 668 628 605 601 576 581 588 591 586 582 582 % Max Capacity 61%61%57%55%55%52%53%53%54%53%53%53% SIPPEL EL 675 1,058 742 672 679 690 721 756 782 827 867 904 961 1,030 % Max Capacity 70%64%64%65%68%71%74%78%82%85%91%97% WATTS EL 673 924 593 513 469 440 428 423 428 446 457 463 476 490 % Max Capacity 64%56%51%48%46%46%46%48%49%50%52%53% WIEDERSTEIN EL 675 1,058 551 546 538 544 527 517 529 549 568 574 587 602 % Max Capacity 52%52%51%51%50%49%50%52%54%54%55%57% ELEMENTARY TOTALS 5,826 8,390 5,406 5,110 4,895 4,808 4,790 4,830 4,922 5,099 5,250 5,335 5,453 5,587 % Max Capacity 64%61%58%57%57%58%59%61%63%64%65%67% Elementary Percent Change -3.40%-5.48%-4.21%-1.78%-0.37%0.83%1.91%3.59%2.96%1.63%2.20%2.46% Elementary Absolute Change -190 -296 -215 -87 -18 40 92 177 151 85 117 134 ELEMENTARY CAPACITIES 90% 92%94% 91% 97% 67% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY CIBOLO VALLEY EL GREEN VALLEY EL NORMA PASCHAL EL ROSE GARDEN EL SCHERTZ EL SIPPEL EL WATTS EL WIEDERSTEIN EL ELEMENTARY TOTALS INTERMEDIATE CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 JORDAN INT 810 1,000 716 769 796 763 777 742 676 646 641 695 734 739 % Max Capacity 72%77%80%76%78%74%68%65%64%70%73%74% SCHLATHER INT 810 1,200 750 682 700 689 640 573 563 594 597 651 682 677 % Max Capacity 63%57%58%57%53%48%47%50%50%54%57%56% WILDER INT 810 1,250 734 725 730 743 748 739 683 627 616 654 681 685 % Max Capacity 59%58%58%59%60%59%55%50%49%52%54%55% INTERMEDIATE TOTALS 3,450 2,201 2,176 2,226 2,195 2,165 2,054 1,922 1,867 1,854 2,000 2,097 2,101 % Max Capacity 64%63%65%64%63%60%56%54%54%58%61%61% Intermediate Percent Change -6.13%-1.09%2.30%-1.39%-1.37%-5.13%-6.43%-2.86%-0.70%7.87%4.85%0.19% Intermediate Absolute Change -144 -24 50 -31 -30 -111 -132 -55 -13 146 97 4 INTERMEDIATE CAPACITIES 74% 61% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY JORDAN INT SCHLATHER INT WILDER INT INTERMEDIATE TOTALS JUNIOR HIGH CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 DOBIE JH 1,300 1,540 1,348 1,316 1,229 1,194 1,228 1,196 1,152 1,058 1,009 1,025 1,025 1,109 % Max Capacity 88%85%80%78%80%78%75%69%66%67%67%72% CORBETT JH 1,080 1,500 1,188 1,126 1,095 1,096 1,103 1,111 1,114 1,083 1,001 936 924 989 % Max Capacity 79%75%73%73%74%74%74%72%67%62%62%66% JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 3,040 2,537 2,442 2,324 2,290 2,331 2,307 2,266 2,141 2,010 1,961 1,949 2,098 % Max Capacity 83%80%76%75%77%76%75%70%66%65%64%69% Junior High School Percent Change -2.62%-3.71%-4.83%-1.46%1.79%-1.03%-1.78%-5.52%-6.12%-2.44%-0.61%7.64% Junior High School Absolute Change -68 -94 -118 -34 41 -24 -41 -125 -131 -49 -12 149 JUNIOR HIGH CAPACITIES 72% 66% 69% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY DOBIE JH CORBETT JH JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS HIGH SCHOOL CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 CLEMENS HS 2,700 3,300 2,544 2,563 2,576 2,550 2,469 2,419 2,397 2,400 2,418 2,383 2,292 2,183 % Max Capacity 77%78%78%77%75%73%73%73%73%72%69%66% STEELE HS 2,160 3,200 2,716 2,700 2,688 2,663 2,541 2,452 2,411 2,345 2,330 2,202 2,113 2,038 % Max Capacity 85%84%84%83%79%77%75%73%73%69%66%64% HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 6,650 5,381 5,418 5,419 5,368 5,165 5,026 4,963 4,900 4,903 4,740 4,560 4,376 % Max Capacity 81%81%81%81%78%76%75%74%74%71%69%66% High School Percent Change 0.69%0.71%0.02%-0.94%-3.78%-2.69%-1.25%-1.27%0.06%-3.32%-3.80%-4.04% High School Absolute Change 37 38 1 -52 -204 -137 -64 -63 3 -163 -180 -183 HIGH SCHOOL CAPACITIES 66% 64% 66% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY CLEMENS HS STEELE HS HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS FORECASTING CONSIDERATIONS • • • • • •BONDING CAPACITY PROJECTING BONDING CAPACITY -SCUC o PROJECTING TAX REVENUE o ASSUMES NO REFINANCING FOR BOND SAVINGS o DEFEASING PRINCIPAL o MODEST PROPERTY VALUE GROWTH o 4.0% ANNUAL INCREASE FOR 2024-2028 o 2.0% ANNUAL INCREASE FOR 2029-2033 o AS DEBT IS RESTRUCTURED AND PROPERTY VALUES INCREASE, WE BEGIN TO HAVE SOME BONDING CAPACITY o CAPACITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEBT IS LOWER AT FIRST, MORE IN LATER YEARS o FORECASTING USING THREE OPTIONS FOR I&S TAX RATE o $0.47 PER $100 OF VALUATION (CURRENT), $0.48 PER $100 VALUATION, AND $0.49 PER $100 VALUATION PROJECTED AVAILABLE BOND DOLLARS $215 $246 $278 $312 $347 $362 $380 $399 $419 $438 $284 $316 $351 $388 $426 $442 $463 $483 $505 $526 $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 $550 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 BO N D C A P A C I T Y I N M I L L I O N S SCUC Bond Capacity by Year & Rate Bond Capacity 47¢Bond Capacity 48¢Bond Capacity 49¢ PROJECTING FACILITY COSTS -SCUC o o o o o o o o o o o PROJECTING FACILITY COSTS -SCUC YEAR High School Junior High Elementary/ Intermediate 2024 $ 235,000,000 $ 113,000,000 $ 72,000,000 2025-P $ 242,050,000 $ 116,390,000 $ 74,160,000 2026-P $ 246,891,000 $ 118,717,800 $ 75,643,200 2027-P $ 251,828,820 $ 121,092,156 $ 77,156,064 2028-P $ 256,865,396 $ 123,513,999 $ 78,699,185 2029-P $ 262,002,704 $ 125,984,279 $ 80,273,169 2030-P $ 267,242,758 $ 128,503,965 $ 81,878,632 2031-P $ 272,587,614 $ 131,074,044 $ 83,516,205 2032-P $ 278,039,366 $ 133,695,525 $ 85,186,529 2033-P $ 283,600,153 $ 136,369,435 $ 86,890,260 2034-P $ 289,272,156 $ 139,096,824 $ 88,628,065 PROJECTED BOND CAPACITIES VS. CONSTRUCTION COSTS $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 BONDING CAPACITY VS CONSTRUCTION COSTS JUNIOR HIGH Bond Capacity 47¢Bond Capacity 48¢Bond Capacity 49¢ PROJECTED BOND CAPACITIES VS. CONSTRUCTION COSTS $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 BONDING CAPACITY VS CONSTRUCTION COSTS JUNIOR HIGH Bond Capacity 47¢Bond Capacity 48¢Bond Capacity 49¢ Estimated $41 M in HVAC needs over the next 10 years Estimated $9 M in Ancillary Systems needs over the next 10 years Estimated $40 M in Building and Site needs over the next 10 years TAKE AWAYS…. o o o o o o o o o QUESTIONS/COMMENTS 3Q23 Demographic Report 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.6 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 Guadalupe Co. Comal Co. San Antonio MSA Texas US Unemployment Rate, Year Over Year Oct-23 Oct-22 3 Local Economic Conditions 3 12.6 3.6 3.5 3.8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Unemployment Rate, Sept 2019 –Oct 2023 San Antonio MSA Texas © 2022 Zonda 13,557 19,033 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000 22,500 25,000 2013Q3 2014Q3 2015Q3 2016Q3 2017Q3 2018Q3 2019Q3 2020Q3 2021Q3 2022Q3 2023Q3 Annual Housing Starts vs. Annual Closings Annual Housing Starts Annual Closings San Antonio New Home Starts & Closings Key Trends Starts: -40% YOY / -1% QOQ Closings: +10% YOY / -1% QOQ Closings Exceed Starts by 5,500 Homes 5 Housing Market Trends: Multi-family Market-Oct. 2023 6 San Antonio New Home Ranking Report ISD Ranked by Annual Closings –3Q23 * Based on additional housing research by Zonda Education Rank District Name Annual Starts Annual Closings Inventory VDL Future 1 NORTHSIDE ISD 2,762 4,009 2,287 7,237 24,003 2 COMAL ISD 1,960 2,971 1,982 4,390 22,269 3 EAST CENTRAL ISD 1,469 2,282 1,036 4,414 26,268 4 MEDINA VALLEY ISD 1,859 2,139 1,351 4,375 25,751 5 JUDSON ISD 783 1,322 583 774 1,228 6 SOUTHWEST ISD 890 1,106 673 2,704 9,156 7 SCHERTZ-CIBOLO-U CITY ISD 593 1,060 550 1,819 6,914 8 NEW BRAUNFELS ISD 510 762 406 1,203 6,767 9 NAVARRO ISD 636 692 458 1,457 4,461 10 BOERNE ISD 569 623 534 1,263 10,547 11 SEGUIN ISD 327 471 253 681 5,280 12 NORTH EAST ISD 368 463 223 701 5,711 13 SOUTHSIDE ISD 419 460 327 1,082 10,948 14 SAN ANTONIO ISD 94 240 166 347 794 15 SOUTH SAN ANTONIO ISD 129 219 137 250 539 16 LYTLE ISD 51 73 35 157 1,306 17 HARLANDALE ISD 5 41 0 14 43 18 ALAMO HEIGHTS ISD 27 33 58 20 19 19 EDGEWOOD ISD 0 28 0 0 42 20 MARION ISD 62 24 62 283 4,388 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Annual Starts Annual Closings 7 District New Home Starts and Closings by Quarter Starts 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Closings 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1Q 196 175 201 237 294 349 103 1Q 194 133 138 165 190 181 280 2Q 168 180 176 197 300 393 186 2Q 172 185 211 249 258 227 247 3Q 167 177 207 261 265 174 241 3Q 179 185 240 286 268 218 199 4Q 172 185 198 232 319 63 4Q 148 161 179 213 196 334 Total 703 717 782 927 1,178 979 530 Total 693 664 768 913 912 960 726 8 District Housing Overview by Elementary Zone Highest activity in the category Second highest activity in the category Third highest activity in the category Elementary Annual Starts Quarter Starts Annual Closings Quarter Closings Under Const.Inventory Vacant Dev. Lots Future CIBOLO VALLEY 73 22 58 23 39 77 168 430 GREEN VALLEY 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PASCHAL 1 0 3 1 0 1 45 242 ROSE GARDEN 146 44 307 41 94 147 590 3,017 SCHERTZ 32 6 103 12 15 24 0 60 SIPPEL 80 42 130 33 46 90 639 1,743 WATTS 61 26 152 25 24 68 76 580 WIEDERSTEIN 200 101 307 64 96 143 301 842 Grand Total 593 241 1,060 199 314 550 1,819 6,914 District Housing Overview •The district has 24 actively building subdivisions •Within SCUCISD there are 8 future subdivisions •Of these, groundwork is underway on 1,068 lots within 8 subdivisions 9 District Multi-Family Overview 10 •The district has over 550 multi-family units under construction across the district •Within SCUCISD there are over 2,100 future multi-family units in the planning stages Multi-Family Developments MF Under construction Future Multi-Family Residential Activity 11 Cibolo Ridge •348 total future lots •Groundwork underway for Unit 1 (145 lots) •Anticipate homebuilding begin late 2023 –early 2024 •Lennar Legendary Trails •361 total lots •141 future lots •60 vacant developed lots •13 homes under construction •124 occupied homes •Closed 44 homes in last 12 months •Groundwork underway on remaining lots •$330K+ •Current Student Yield = 0.605 Residential Activity 12 Saddlebrook Ranch •636 total future lots •Groundwork underway for 177 lots in Units 1, 2 & 4 •Anticipate homebuilding begin early 2024 •Ashton Woods Multi-Family Yield 13 •Within SCUCISD there are currently 287 students residing in 1,920 multi-family units •The district average multi-family yield is 0.149 < 0.25 0.25 –0.50 0.50 –0.75 > 0.75 14 Student Yield by Housing Type Single Family Yield 0.469 Multi-Family Yield 0.149 0.489 0.469 0.132 0.149 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 2022/23 2023/24 SCUCISD Student Yeild by Housing Type Single Family Yield Mutli-Family Yeild Student Density 15 SCUCISD currently has 308 residing out of district This represents roughly 2% of total SCUCISD students 6,124 students, or roughly 40.4% of the district population resides within Schertz city limits 6,372 students, or roughly 42% of the district population resides in Cibolo city limits 687 students, or roughly 4.5% of the district population resided in Universal City city limits 1,665 students roughly 11.1% reside in the unincorporated area of the district 16 Yellow box = largest grade per year Green box = second largest grade per year Ten Year Forecast by Grade Level Year (Oct.)EE/PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Total Growth % Growth 2019/20 413 1,048 1,036 1,093 1,125 1,184 1,211 1,234 1,183 1,180 1,419 1,340 1,282 1,224 15,972 154 1.0% 2020/21 325 951 1,019 1,040 1,077 1,135 1,143 1,232 1,248 1,219 1,293 1,394 1,305 1,292 15,673 -299 -1.9% 2021/22 455 935 997 1,019 1,074 1,116 1,124 1,221 1,287 1,318 1,428 1,347 1,305 1,264 15,890 217 1.4% 2022/23 436 819 962 998 1,077 1,114 1,067 1,133 1,230 1,306 1,478 1,371 1,247 1,283 15,521 -369 -2.3% 2023/24 430 788 838 967 997 1,090 1,079 1,097 1,178 1,264 1,435 1,459 1,238 1,286 15,146 -375 -2.4% 2024/25 384 747 849 866 1,006 1,043 1,108 1,118 1,126 1,198 1,413 1,427 1,354 1,225 14,864 -282 -1.9% 2025/26 406 789 795 870 896 1,052 1,061 1,134 1,145 1,145 1,328 1,387 1,321 1,332 14,661 -203 -1.4% 2026/27 443 861 840 816 897 933 1,072 1,093 1,167 1,164 1,269 1,316 1,274 1,306 14,451 -210 -1.4% 2027/28 438 850 918 851 841 932 950 1,104 1,120 1,187 1,294 1,256 1,218 1,258 14,217 -234 -1.6% 2028/29 446 866 907 945 879 879 947 975 1,128 1,138 1,318 1,278 1,161 1,206 14,073 -144 -1.0% 2029/30 456 886 919 941 978 919 893 974 994 1,147 1,265 1,304 1,180 1,151 14,007 -66 -0.5% 2030/31 465 904 940 951 970 1,020 935 919 1,000 1,010 1,277 1,251 1,205 1,170 14,017 10 0.1% 2031/32 477 931 960 973 982 1,012 1,038 962 944 1,017 1,128 1,263 1,156 1,193 14,036 19 0.1% 2032/33 489 954 984 995 1,006 1,025 1,029 1,068 989 960 1,130 1,117 1,167 1,146 14,059 22 0.2% 2033/34 500 976 1,011 1,021 1,028 1,051 1,042 1,059 1,099 999 1,066 1,120 1,034 1,156 14,162 103 0.7% 17 Ten Year Forecast by Elementary Campus Fall ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 2031/32 2032/33 2033/34 CIBOLO VALLEY EL 891 1,200 657 611 587 589 594 594 608 617 620 627 637 GREEN VALLEY EL 673 924 533 497 482 469 497 506 524 535 537 535 529 NORMA PASCHAL EL 673 924 625 591 582 564 544 546 559 569 574 580 585 ROSE GARDEN EL 891 1,200 896 882 878 891 923 957 999 1,046 1,075 1,104 1,131 SCHERTZ EL 675 1,102 668 628 605 601 576 581 588 591 586 582 582 SIPPEL EL 675 1,058 672 679 690 721 756 782 827 867 904 961 1,030 WATTS EL 673 924 513 469 440 428 423 428 446 457 463 476 490 WIEDERSTEIN EL 675 1,058 546 538 544 527 517 529 549 568 574 587 602 ELEMENTARY TOTALS 5,110 4,895 4,808 4,790 4,830 4,922 5,099 5,250 5,335 5,453 5,587 Elementary Percent Change -5.48%-4.21%-1.78%-0.37%0.83%1.91%3.59%2.96%1.63%2.20%2.46% Elementary Absolute Change -296 -215 -87 -18 40 92 177 151 85 117 134 JORDAN INT 810 1,000 769 796 763 777 742 676 646 641 695 734 739 SCHLATHER INT 810 1,200 682 700 689 640 573 563 594 597 651 682 677 WILDER INT 810 1,250 725 730 743 748 739 683 627 616 654 681 685 INTERMEDIATE TOTALS 2,176 2,226 2,195 2,165 2,054 1,922 1,867 1,854 2,000 2,097 2,101 Intermediate Percent Change -1.09%2.30%-1.39%-1.37%-5.13%-6.43%-2.86%-0.70%7.87%4.85%0.19% Intermediate Absolute Change -24 50 -31 -30 -111 -132 -55 -13 146 97 4 18 Ten Year Forecast by Secondary Campus Fall ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 2031/32 2032/33 2033/34 DOBIE JH 1,300 1,540 1,316 1,229 1,194 1,228 1,196 1,152 1,058 1,009 1,025 1,025 1,109 CORBETT JH 1,080 1,500 1,126 1,095 1,096 1,103 1,111 1,114 1,083 1,001 936 924 989 JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 2,442 2,324 2,290 2,331 2,307 2,266 2,141 2,010 1,961 1,949 2,098 Junior High School Percent Change -3.71%-4.83%-1.46%1.79%-1.03%-1.78%-5.52%-6.12%-2.44%-0.61%7.64% Junior High School Absolute Change -94 -118 -34 41 -24 -41 -125 -131 -49 -12 149 CLEMENS HS 2,700 3,300 2,563 2,576 2,550 2,469 2,419 2,397 2,400 2,418 2,383 2,292 2,183 STEELE HS 2,160 3,200 2,700 2,688 2,663 2,541 2,452 2,411 2,345 2,330 2,202 2,113 2,038 ALSELC 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 5,418 5,419 5,368 5,165 5,026 4,963 4,900 4,903 4,740 4,560 4,376 High School Percent Change 0.73%0.02%-0.94%-3.78%-2.69%-1.25%-1.27%0.06%-3.32%-3.80%-4.04% High School Absolute Change 39 1 -51 -203 -139 -63 -63 3 -163 -180 -184 DISTRICT TOTALS 15,146 14,864 14,661 14,451 14,217 14,073 14,007 14,017 14,036 14,059 14,162 District Percent Change -2.42%-1.86%-1.37%-1.43%-1.62%-1.01%-0.47%0.07%0.14%0.16%0.73% District Absolute Change -375 -282 -203 -210 -234 -144 -66 10 19 22 103 19 Key Takeaways Enrollment in Schertz Cibolo ISD decreased by -2.4% since 2022/23 Enrollment declines related to Charter expansions and lower Kindergarten enrollments 3rd quarter new home starts bounce back to 241 starts highest in the past year The district has 24 actively building subdivisions with more than 1,800 lots available to build on SCUCISD has 8 future subdivisions with over 6,900 lots in the planning stages Groundwork is underway on more than 1,000 lots across the district Larger graduating classes verses smaller Kindergarten classes leading to decrease in overall enrollment District enrollment near 14,000 students in 2028/29 school year 15,146 14,073 14,162 13,000 13,500 14,000 14,500 15,000 15,500 16,000 16,500 Enrollment Projections PLANNING AND ZONING COMMISSION MEETING: 04/03/2024 Agenda Item 5 C TO:Planning and Zoning Commission PREPARED BY:Daisy Marquez, Planner SUBJECT:PLZC20240050 - Hold a public hearing and make a recommendation on a request to rezone approximately 3 acres of land from Pre-Development District (PRE) to Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A), a portion of Bexar County Property Identification Number 308402, also known as 11627 Voges Pass, City of Schertz, Texas, Bexar County, Texas. BACKGROUND The applicant is requesting to rezone approximately 3 acres of land from Pre-Development District (PRE) to Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A). The subject property is currently a single-family home with agriculture. On March 20, 2024, seven (7) public hearing notices were mailed to the surrounding property owners within a 200-foot boundary of the subject property. At the time of the staff report, zero (0) responses in favor, zero (0) responses neutral, and zero (0) responses in opposition have been received. A public hearing notice will be published in the "San Antonio Express" prior to the City Council Meeting. Additionally, one (1) sign was placed on the property. Subject Property: Zoning Land Use Existing Pre-Development District (PRE)Single Family Home Proposed Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A) Single Family Home Adjacent Properties: Zoning Land Use North Pre-Development District (PRE)Single Family Home and Agriculture South Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ)Single Family Home and Agriculture East Private Right-of-Way Voges Pass West Manufacturing District- Heavy (M-2)Undeveloped GOAL The proposed zone change is for approximately 3 acres of land to Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A). Per the letter of intent submitted with the application, the property owner desires to remodel their existing home. COMMUNITY BENEFIT It is the City’s desire to promote safe, orderly, efficient development and ensure compliance with the City’s vision of future growth. SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDED ACTION To the north of the property, the property is zoned Pre-Development District (PRE) and is used as a single-family To the north of the property, the property is zoned Pre-Development District (PRE) and is used as a single-family home and agricultural. To the east of the property is Voges Pass. To the west, the property is zoned Manufacturing District-Heavy (M-2) and is currently used for industrial uses. To the south, the property is within the Schertz Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ) and is used for a single-family home and agriculture. When evaluating zone changes, staff uses criteria listed in UDC Section 21.5.4.D. The criteria are listed below. 1. Whether the proposed zoning change or zoning map amendment implements the policies of the adopted Comprehensive Land Plan, including the land use classification of the property on the Future Land Use Map; The proposed Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A) does implement the policies of the adopted Comprehensive Land Plan. The Comprehensive Land Use Plan classifies the subject property and area as Complete Neighborhood. The intent of the Complete Neighborhood land use designation is a general area characterized by a mix of housing options with supporting land uses, but when considering appropriateness of housing density factors such as roadway classification and conflicts among land uses should be considered. The proposed Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) is compatible with the Comprehensive Land Use Plan designation as per its statement of purpose and intent from UDC Section 21.5.5. The intent of the Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) is to provide a district suitable for minimum half-acre lots where development may be premature. The surrounding properties are Pre-Development District (PRE) and the subject property is at the edge of the City of Schertz Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (ETJ). 2. Whether the proposed zoning change or zoning map amendment promotes the health, safety, or general welfare of the City and the safe, orderly, efficient and healthful development of the City; As part of promoting health, safety, and welfare, the City should encourage development compatible with surrounding uses utilizing standards and transitional uses to alleviate negative impacts. The chosen Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) dimensional and development standards as stated in Section 21.5.7 of the Unified Development Code, are compatible with what is in the surrounding area. Tables 21.5.7.A Dimensional Requirements Residential Zoning Districts Minimum Lot Size Dimensions Minimum Yard Setback (Ft)Miscellaneous Lot Requirements Code Zoning District Area Sq.Ft. Width Ft. Depth Ft. Front Ft. Side Ft. Rear Ft. Minimum Off-Street Parking Spaces Max Height Ft. Max Impervious Coverage R-A Single-Family Residential/ Agriculture 21,780 --25 25 25 2 35 50% 3. Whether the uses permitted by the proposed change in zoning district classification and the standards applicable to such uses will be appropriate in the immediate area of the land to be reclassified; Yes, the uses permitted in Single-Family Residential/ Agricultural District (R-A) are appropriate within the immediate area of the land to be reclassified. The purpose and intent of the Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A) is to provide areas in which agricultural land may be held in such use for as long as is practical and reasonable with residences a minimum of half-acre in size, and where development is premature due to lack of utilities, capacity or services, as per UDC Section 21.5.5. A majority of the surrounding properties are zoned Pre-Development District (PRE) and are used for single family residential and agriculture. Additionally, the southern property line of the subject property is adjacent to the City of residential and agriculture. Additionally, the southern property line of the subject property is adjacent to the City of Schertz Extraterritorial Jurisdiction. 4. Whether the proposed change is in accord with any existing or proposed plans for providing public schools, streets, water supply, sanitary sewers or other public services and utilities to the area; The existing access point for the property is off of the existing Voges Pass. Voges Pass is a private road and is not maintained by the City of Schertz. The subject property currently uses an on site septic system and is serviced by the City of Schertz for water. A public hearing notice was mailed to Schertz-Cibolo-Universal City Independent School District to notify them of the proposed zone change. Included as attachments are the most recent Demographic Report 3Q23 for SCUCISD as well as the most recent 10-Year Campus Forecasting Presentation. The City of Schertz Police, Fire and EMS Departments have indicated they do not have any concerns regarding the proposed rezoning requests or their ability to provide services. 5. Whether there have been environmental and/or economical changes which warrant the requested change; The applicant would like to renovate the existing home and the Pre-Development District (PRE) is a placeholder and requires a zone change for construction, building permits, etc. 6. Whether there is an error in the original zoning of the property for which a change is requested; There was no error in the original zoning of the property. The property was given the designation of Pre-Development District (PRE) since at least 1989. The subject property was annexed in to the City of Schertz in 1974 with Ordinance 74-A-24. 7. Whether all of the applicant's back taxes owed to the City have been paid in full (no application will receive final approval until all back taxes are paid in full); and, This does not impact the Planning and Zoning Commission recommendation to City Council. 8. Whether other criteria are met, which, at the discretion of the Planning and Zoning Commission and the City Council, are deemed relevant and important in the consideration of the amendment. Staff has ensured all UDC requirements have been met for the proposed zone change, and at this time have not received any special consideration from the Planning and Zoning Commission or the City Council. RECOMMENDATION The proposed zone change to Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A) is compatible with the Comprehensive Land Use Plan and is appropriate within the immediate area of the subject property, thus staff recommends approval of PLZC20240050. Attachments Aerial Exhibit Public Hearing Notice Map Zoning Exhibit SCUCISD 10 Year Campus Forecasting SCUCISD Demographic Report FORECASTING CONSIDERATIONS • • • • • • 13,540 14,056 14,586 15,081 15,465 15,615 15,768 15,972 15,673 15,890 15,521 15,146 14,864 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 20,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024-P # O F S T U D E N T S DISTRICT ENROLLMENT HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT 1.0% growth per year (153 students per year) 1.3% loss per year (-195 students per year) 3.4% growth per year (481 students per year) HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT BY CAMPUS LEVEL 5,261 5,446 5,512 5,716 5,783 5,811 5,899 5,547 5,596 5,406 5,110 4,895 2,125 2,211 2,326 2,253 2,252 2,344 2,445 2,375 2,345 2,200 2,176 2,226 2,210 2,211 2,341 2,421 2,453 2,403 2,363 2,467 2,605 2,536 2,442 2,324 4,460 4,718 4,902 5,075 5,127 5,210 5,265 5,284 5,344 5,379 5,418 5,419 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024-P # O F S T U D E N T S CAMPUS LEVEL ENROLLMENT Elementary Intermediate Junior High High School ENROLLMENT HISTORY BY LEVEL –OCTOBER • • • • • • • STUDENT TRANSFERS PEIMS YEAR TRANSFER IN TRANSFER OUT DIFFERENCE 2012 216 681 -465 2013 212 704 -492 2014 244 647 -403 2015 302 702 -400 2016 297 907 -610 2017 290 1061 -771 2018 304 1079 -775 2019 296 1283 -987 2020 300 1591 -1291 2021 317 1981 -1664 2022 308 2695 -2387 2023 Data available in March First Year of Founders Charter School First Year of School of Science and Technology First Year of Legacy Traditional School STUDENT TRANSFERS IN VS. OUT 216 212 244 302 297 290 304 296 300 317 308 681 704 647 702 907 1,061 1,079 1,283 1,591 1,981 2,695 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 # O F S T U D E N T S STUDENT TRANSFERS IN vs OUT TRANSFER IN TRANSFER OUT School of Science and Technology Pre-K –8th Grade Legacy Traditional Pre-K –8th Grade Founders Academy K –12th Grade MAIN DESTINATIONS FOR TRANSFERS OUT 444 472 551 529 504 272 328 356 365 414 34 43 119 159 192 16 24 71 285 367 52 106 229 0 463 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 # O F S T U D E N T S TRANSFER DESTINATIONS Randolph ISD Founders Academy Great Hearts School of Science and Technology Judson ISD Legacy Traditional SO, HOW MANY STUDENTS WILL WE HAVE IN THE FUTURE? 14,056 15,081 15,615 15,972 15,890 15,146 14,661 14,217 14,007 14,036 14,162 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 19,000 20,000 # O F S T U D E N T S DISTRICT HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT AND PROJECTIONS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS o o o o PEIMS YEAR PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GROWTH (DECLINE) PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2023 15,146 -375 -2.42% 2024-P 14,864 -282 -1.86% 2025-P 14,661 -203 -1.37% 2026-P 14,451 -210 -1.43% 2027-P 14,217 -234 -1. 62% 2028-P 14,073 -144 -1.01% 2029-P 14,007 -66 -0.47% 2030-P 14,017 10 0.07% 2031-P 14,036 19 0.14% 2032-P 14,059 22 0.16% 2033-P 14,162 103 0.73% PEIMS YEAR PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GROWTH (DECLINE) PERCENTAGE CHANGE 2023 15,146 -375 -2.44% 2024-P 14,864 -282 -1.86% 2025-P 14,661 -203 -1.37% 2026-P 14,451 -210 -1.43% 2027-P 14,217 -234 -1. 62% 2028-P 14,073 -144 -1.01% 2029-P 14,007 -66 -0.47% 2030-P 14,017 10 0.07% 2031-P 14,036 19 0.14% 2032-P 14,059 22 0.16% 2033-P 14,162 103 0.73% ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS o o o WHY HAS IT BECOME SO HARD TO PROJECT ENROLLMENT? o o o o o o FORECASTING CONSIDERATIONS • • • • •CAMPUS CAPACITY UNDERSTANDING CAMPUS CAPACITY o o o o o o o o o PLANNING USING OUR MAXIMUM CAPACITY o CAPACITY RELIEF TOOLS o o o o o o o o o ELEMENTARY CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 CIBOLO VALLEY EL 891 1,200 761 657 611 587 589 594 594 608 617 620 627 637 % Max Capacity 63%55%51%49%49%49%49%51%51%52%52%53% GREEN VALLEY EL 673 924 586 533 497 482 469 497 506 524 535 537 535 529 % Max Capacity 63%58%54%52%51%54%55%57%58%58%58%57% NORMA PASCHAL EL 673 924 603 625 591 582 564 544 546 559 569 574 580 585 % Max Capacity 65%68%64%63%61%59%59%60%62%62%63%63% ROSE GARDEN EL 891 1,200 899 896 882 878 891 923 957 999 1,046 1,075 1,104 1,131 % Max Capacity 75%75%74%73%74%77%80%83%87%90%92%94% SCHERTZ EL 675 1,102 671 668 628 605 601 576 581 588 591 586 582 582 % Max Capacity 61%61%57%55%55%52%53%53%54%53%53%53% SIPPEL EL 675 1,058 742 672 679 690 721 756 782 827 867 904 961 1,030 % Max Capacity 70%64%64%65%68%71%74%78%82%85%91%97% WATTS EL 673 924 593 513 469 440 428 423 428 446 457 463 476 490 % Max Capacity 64%56%51%48%46%46%46%48%49%50%52%53% WIEDERSTEIN EL 675 1,058 551 546 538 544 527 517 529 549 568 574 587 602 % Max Capacity 52%52%51%51%50%49%50%52%54%54%55%57% ELEMENTARY TOTALS 5,826 8,390 5,406 5,110 4,895 4,808 4,790 4,830 4,922 5,099 5,250 5,335 5,453 5,587 % Max Capacity 64%61%58%57%57%58%59%61%63%64%65%67% Elementary Percent Change -3.40%-5.48%-4.21%-1.78%-0.37%0.83%1.91%3.59%2.96%1.63%2.20%2.46% Elementary Absolute Change -190 -296 -215 -87 -18 40 92 177 151 85 117 134 ELEMENTARY CAPACITIES 90% 92%94% 91% 97% 67% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY CIBOLO VALLEY EL GREEN VALLEY EL NORMA PASCHAL EL ROSE GARDEN EL SCHERTZ EL SIPPEL EL WATTS EL WIEDERSTEIN EL ELEMENTARY TOTALS INTERMEDIATE CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 JORDAN INT 810 1,000 716 769 796 763 777 742 676 646 641 695 734 739 % Max Capacity 72%77%80%76%78%74%68%65%64%70%73%74% SCHLATHER INT 810 1,200 750 682 700 689 640 573 563 594 597 651 682 677 % Max Capacity 63%57%58%57%53%48%47%50%50%54%57%56% WILDER INT 810 1,250 734 725 730 743 748 739 683 627 616 654 681 685 % Max Capacity 59%58%58%59%60%59%55%50%49%52%54%55% INTERMEDIATE TOTALS 3,450 2,201 2,176 2,226 2,195 2,165 2,054 1,922 1,867 1,854 2,000 2,097 2,101 % Max Capacity 64%63%65%64%63%60%56%54%54%58%61%61% Intermediate Percent Change -6.13%-1.09%2.30%-1.39%-1.37%-5.13%-6.43%-2.86%-0.70%7.87%4.85%0.19% Intermediate Absolute Change -144 -24 50 -31 -30 -111 -132 -55 -13 146 97 4 INTERMEDIATE CAPACITIES 74% 61% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY JORDAN INT SCHLATHER INT WILDER INT INTERMEDIATE TOTALS JUNIOR HIGH CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 DOBIE JH 1,300 1,540 1,348 1,316 1,229 1,194 1,228 1,196 1,152 1,058 1,009 1,025 1,025 1,109 % Max Capacity 88%85%80%78%80%78%75%69%66%67%67%72% CORBETT JH 1,080 1,500 1,188 1,126 1,095 1,096 1,103 1,111 1,114 1,083 1,001 936 924 989 % Max Capacity 79%75%73%73%74%74%74%72%67%62%62%66% JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 3,040 2,537 2,442 2,324 2,290 2,331 2,307 2,266 2,141 2,010 1,961 1,949 2,098 % Max Capacity 83%80%76%75%77%76%75%70%66%65%64%69% Junior High School Percent Change -2.62%-3.71%-4.83%-1.46%1.79%-1.03%-1.78%-5.52%-6.12%-2.44%-0.61%7.64% Junior High School Absolute Change -68 -94 -118 -34 41 -24 -41 -125 -131 -49 -12 149 JUNIOR HIGH CAPACITIES 72% 66% 69% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY DOBIE JH CORBETT JH JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS HIGH SCHOOL CAPACITIES Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity Previous Year Current PEIMS ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 CLEMENS HS 2,700 3,300 2,544 2,563 2,576 2,550 2,469 2,419 2,397 2,400 2,418 2,383 2,292 2,183 % Max Capacity 77%78%78%77%75%73%73%73%73%72%69%66% STEELE HS 2,160 3,200 2,716 2,700 2,688 2,663 2,541 2,452 2,411 2,345 2,330 2,202 2,113 2,038 % Max Capacity 85%84%84%83%79%77%75%73%73%69%66%64% HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 6,650 5,381 5,418 5,419 5,368 5,165 5,026 4,963 4,900 4,903 4,740 4,560 4,376 % Max Capacity 81%81%81%81%78%76%75%74%74%71%69%66% High School Percent Change 0.69%0.71%0.02%-0.94%-3.78%-2.69%-1.25%-1.27%0.06%-3.32%-3.80%-4.04% High School Absolute Change 37 38 1 -52 -204 -137 -64 -63 3 -163 -180 -183 HIGH SCHOOL CAPACITIES 66% 64% 66% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 % of MAXIMUM CAMPUS CAPACITY CLEMENS HS STEELE HS HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS FORECASTING CONSIDERATIONS • • • • • •BONDING CAPACITY PROJECTING BONDING CAPACITY -SCUC o PROJECTING TAX REVENUE o ASSUMES NO REFINANCING FOR BOND SAVINGS o DEFEASING PRINCIPAL o MODEST PROPERTY VALUE GROWTH o 4.0% ANNUAL INCREASE FOR 2024-2028 o 2.0% ANNUAL INCREASE FOR 2029-2033 o AS DEBT IS RESTRUCTURED AND PROPERTY VALUES INCREASE, WE BEGIN TO HAVE SOME BONDING CAPACITY o CAPACITY FOR ADDITIONAL DEBT IS LOWER AT FIRST, MORE IN LATER YEARS o FORECASTING USING THREE OPTIONS FOR I&S TAX RATE o $0.47 PER $100 OF VALUATION (CURRENT), $0.48 PER $100 VALUATION, AND $0.49 PER $100 VALUATION PROJECTED AVAILABLE BOND DOLLARS $215 $246 $278 $312 $347 $362 $380 $399 $419 $438 $284 $316 $351 $388 $426 $442 $463 $483 $505 $526 $- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 $550 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 BO N D C A P A C I T Y I N M I L L I O N S SCUC Bond Capacity by Year & Rate Bond Capacity 47¢Bond Capacity 48¢Bond Capacity 49¢ PROJECTING FACILITY COSTS -SCUC o o o o o o o o o o o PROJECTING FACILITY COSTS -SCUC YEAR High School Junior High Elementary/ Intermediate 2024 $ 235,000,000 $ 113,000,000 $ 72,000,000 2025-P $ 242,050,000 $ 116,390,000 $ 74,160,000 2026-P $ 246,891,000 $ 118,717,800 $ 75,643,200 2027-P $ 251,828,820 $ 121,092,156 $ 77,156,064 2028-P $ 256,865,396 $ 123,513,999 $ 78,699,185 2029-P $ 262,002,704 $ 125,984,279 $ 80,273,169 2030-P $ 267,242,758 $ 128,503,965 $ 81,878,632 2031-P $ 272,587,614 $ 131,074,044 $ 83,516,205 2032-P $ 278,039,366 $ 133,695,525 $ 85,186,529 2033-P $ 283,600,153 $ 136,369,435 $ 86,890,260 2034-P $ 289,272,156 $ 139,096,824 $ 88,628,065 PROJECTED BOND CAPACITIES VS. CONSTRUCTION COSTS $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 BONDING CAPACITY VS CONSTRUCTION COSTS JUNIOR HIGH Bond Capacity 47¢Bond Capacity 48¢Bond Capacity 49¢ PROJECTED BOND CAPACITIES VS. CONSTRUCTION COSTS $0 $100,000,000 $200,000,000 $300,000,000 $400,000,000 $500,000,000 $600,000,000 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 BONDING CAPACITY VS CONSTRUCTION COSTS JUNIOR HIGH Bond Capacity 47¢Bond Capacity 48¢Bond Capacity 49¢ Estimated $41 M in HVAC needs over the next 10 years Estimated $9 M in Ancillary Systems needs over the next 10 years Estimated $40 M in Building and Site needs over the next 10 years TAKE AWAYS…. o o o o o o o o o QUESTIONS/COMMENTS 3Q23 Demographic Report 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.6 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 Guadalupe Co. Comal Co. San Antonio MSA Texas US Unemployment Rate, Year Over Year Oct-23 Oct-22 3 Local Economic Conditions 3 12.6 3.6 3.5 3.8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Unemployment Rate, Sept 2019 –Oct 2023 San Antonio MSA Texas © 2022 Zonda 13,557 19,033 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500 15,000 17,500 20,000 22,500 25,000 2013Q3 2014Q3 2015Q3 2016Q3 2017Q3 2018Q3 2019Q3 2020Q3 2021Q3 2022Q3 2023Q3 Annual Housing Starts vs. Annual Closings Annual Housing Starts Annual Closings San Antonio New Home Starts & Closings Key Trends Starts: -40% YOY / -1% QOQ Closings: +10% YOY / -1% QOQ Closings Exceed Starts by 5,500 Homes 5 Housing Market Trends: Multi-family Market-Oct. 2023 6 San Antonio New Home Ranking Report ISD Ranked by Annual Closings –3Q23 * Based on additional housing research by Zonda Education Rank District Name Annual Starts Annual Closings Inventory VDL Future 1 NORTHSIDE ISD 2,762 4,009 2,287 7,237 24,003 2 COMAL ISD 1,960 2,971 1,982 4,390 22,269 3 EAST CENTRAL ISD 1,469 2,282 1,036 4,414 26,268 4 MEDINA VALLEY ISD 1,859 2,139 1,351 4,375 25,751 5 JUDSON ISD 783 1,322 583 774 1,228 6 SOUTHWEST ISD 890 1,106 673 2,704 9,156 7 SCHERTZ-CIBOLO-U CITY ISD 593 1,060 550 1,819 6,914 8 NEW BRAUNFELS ISD 510 762 406 1,203 6,767 9 NAVARRO ISD 636 692 458 1,457 4,461 10 BOERNE ISD 569 623 534 1,263 10,547 11 SEGUIN ISD 327 471 253 681 5,280 12 NORTH EAST ISD 368 463 223 701 5,711 13 SOUTHSIDE ISD 419 460 327 1,082 10,948 14 SAN ANTONIO ISD 94 240 166 347 794 15 SOUTH SAN ANTONIO ISD 129 219 137 250 539 16 LYTLE ISD 51 73 35 157 1,306 17 HARLANDALE ISD 5 41 0 14 43 18 ALAMO HEIGHTS ISD 27 33 58 20 19 19 EDGEWOOD ISD 0 28 0 0 42 20 MARION ISD 62 24 62 283 4,388 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Annual Starts Annual Closings 7 District New Home Starts and Closings by Quarter Starts 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Closings 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1Q 196 175 201 237 294 349 103 1Q 194 133 138 165 190 181 280 2Q 168 180 176 197 300 393 186 2Q 172 185 211 249 258 227 247 3Q 167 177 207 261 265 174 241 3Q 179 185 240 286 268 218 199 4Q 172 185 198 232 319 63 4Q 148 161 179 213 196 334 Total 703 717 782 927 1,178 979 530 Total 693 664 768 913 912 960 726 8 District Housing Overview by Elementary Zone Highest activity in the category Second highest activity in the category Third highest activity in the category Elementary Annual Starts Quarter Starts Annual Closings Quarter Closings Under Const.Inventory Vacant Dev. Lots Future CIBOLO VALLEY 73 22 58 23 39 77 168 430 GREEN VALLEY 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PASCHAL 1 0 3 1 0 1 45 242 ROSE GARDEN 146 44 307 41 94 147 590 3,017 SCHERTZ 32 6 103 12 15 24 0 60 SIPPEL 80 42 130 33 46 90 639 1,743 WATTS 61 26 152 25 24 68 76 580 WIEDERSTEIN 200 101 307 64 96 143 301 842 Grand Total 593 241 1,060 199 314 550 1,819 6,914 District Housing Overview •The district has 24 actively building subdivisions •Within SCUCISD there are 8 future subdivisions •Of these, groundwork is underway on 1,068 lots within 8 subdivisions 9 District Multi-Family Overview 10 •The district has over 550 multi-family units under construction across the district •Within SCUCISD there are over 2,100 future multi-family units in the planning stages Multi-Family Developments MF Under construction Future Multi-Family Residential Activity 11 Cibolo Ridge •348 total future lots •Groundwork underway for Unit 1 (145 lots) •Anticipate homebuilding begin late 2023 –early 2024 •Lennar Legendary Trails •361 total lots •141 future lots •60 vacant developed lots •13 homes under construction •124 occupied homes •Closed 44 homes in last 12 months •Groundwork underway on remaining lots •$330K+ •Current Student Yield = 0.605 Residential Activity 12 Saddlebrook Ranch •636 total future lots •Groundwork underway for 177 lots in Units 1, 2 & 4 •Anticipate homebuilding begin early 2024 •Ashton Woods Multi-Family Yield 13 •Within SCUCISD there are currently 287 students residing in 1,920 multi-family units •The district average multi-family yield is 0.149 < 0.25 0.25 –0.50 0.50 –0.75 > 0.75 14 Student Yield by Housing Type Single Family Yield 0.469 Multi-Family Yield 0.149 0.489 0.469 0.132 0.149 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 2022/23 2023/24 SCUCISD Student Yeild by Housing Type Single Family Yield Mutli-Family Yeild Student Density 15 SCUCISD currently has 308 residing out of district This represents roughly 2% of total SCUCISD students 6,124 students, or roughly 40.4% of the district population resides within Schertz city limits 6,372 students, or roughly 42% of the district population resides in Cibolo city limits 687 students, or roughly 4.5% of the district population resided in Universal City city limits 1,665 students roughly 11.1% reside in the unincorporated area of the district 16 Yellow box = largest grade per year Green box = second largest grade per year Ten Year Forecast by Grade Level Year (Oct.)EE/PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Total Growth % Growth 2019/20 413 1,048 1,036 1,093 1,125 1,184 1,211 1,234 1,183 1,180 1,419 1,340 1,282 1,224 15,972 154 1.0% 2020/21 325 951 1,019 1,040 1,077 1,135 1,143 1,232 1,248 1,219 1,293 1,394 1,305 1,292 15,673 -299 -1.9% 2021/22 455 935 997 1,019 1,074 1,116 1,124 1,221 1,287 1,318 1,428 1,347 1,305 1,264 15,890 217 1.4% 2022/23 436 819 962 998 1,077 1,114 1,067 1,133 1,230 1,306 1,478 1,371 1,247 1,283 15,521 -369 -2.3% 2023/24 430 788 838 967 997 1,090 1,079 1,097 1,178 1,264 1,435 1,459 1,238 1,286 15,146 -375 -2.4% 2024/25 384 747 849 866 1,006 1,043 1,108 1,118 1,126 1,198 1,413 1,427 1,354 1,225 14,864 -282 -1.9% 2025/26 406 789 795 870 896 1,052 1,061 1,134 1,145 1,145 1,328 1,387 1,321 1,332 14,661 -203 -1.4% 2026/27 443 861 840 816 897 933 1,072 1,093 1,167 1,164 1,269 1,316 1,274 1,306 14,451 -210 -1.4% 2027/28 438 850 918 851 841 932 950 1,104 1,120 1,187 1,294 1,256 1,218 1,258 14,217 -234 -1.6% 2028/29 446 866 907 945 879 879 947 975 1,128 1,138 1,318 1,278 1,161 1,206 14,073 -144 -1.0% 2029/30 456 886 919 941 978 919 893 974 994 1,147 1,265 1,304 1,180 1,151 14,007 -66 -0.5% 2030/31 465 904 940 951 970 1,020 935 919 1,000 1,010 1,277 1,251 1,205 1,170 14,017 10 0.1% 2031/32 477 931 960 973 982 1,012 1,038 962 944 1,017 1,128 1,263 1,156 1,193 14,036 19 0.1% 2032/33 489 954 984 995 1,006 1,025 1,029 1,068 989 960 1,130 1,117 1,167 1,146 14,059 22 0.2% 2033/34 500 976 1,011 1,021 1,028 1,051 1,042 1,059 1,099 999 1,066 1,120 1,034 1,156 14,162 103 0.7% 17 Ten Year Forecast by Elementary Campus Fall ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 2031/32 2032/33 2033/34 CIBOLO VALLEY EL 891 1,200 657 611 587 589 594 594 608 617 620 627 637 GREEN VALLEY EL 673 924 533 497 482 469 497 506 524 535 537 535 529 NORMA PASCHAL EL 673 924 625 591 582 564 544 546 559 569 574 580 585 ROSE GARDEN EL 891 1,200 896 882 878 891 923 957 999 1,046 1,075 1,104 1,131 SCHERTZ EL 675 1,102 668 628 605 601 576 581 588 591 586 582 582 SIPPEL EL 675 1,058 672 679 690 721 756 782 827 867 904 961 1,030 WATTS EL 673 924 513 469 440 428 423 428 446 457 463 476 490 WIEDERSTEIN EL 675 1,058 546 538 544 527 517 529 549 568 574 587 602 ELEMENTARY TOTALS 5,110 4,895 4,808 4,790 4,830 4,922 5,099 5,250 5,335 5,453 5,587 Elementary Percent Change -5.48%-4.21%-1.78%-0.37%0.83%1.91%3.59%2.96%1.63%2.20%2.46% Elementary Absolute Change -296 -215 -87 -18 40 92 177 151 85 117 134 JORDAN INT 810 1,000 769 796 763 777 742 676 646 641 695 734 739 SCHLATHER INT 810 1,200 682 700 689 640 573 563 594 597 651 682 677 WILDER INT 810 1,250 725 730 743 748 739 683 627 616 654 681 685 INTERMEDIATE TOTALS 2,176 2,226 2,195 2,165 2,054 1,922 1,867 1,854 2,000 2,097 2,101 Intermediate Percent Change -1.09%2.30%-1.39%-1.37%-5.13%-6.43%-2.86%-0.70%7.87%4.85%0.19% Intermediate Absolute Change -24 50 -31 -30 -111 -132 -55 -13 146 97 4 18 Ten Year Forecast by Secondary Campus Fall ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS Campus Functional Capacity Max Capacity 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 2031/32 2032/33 2033/34 DOBIE JH 1,300 1,540 1,316 1,229 1,194 1,228 1,196 1,152 1,058 1,009 1,025 1,025 1,109 CORBETT JH 1,080 1,500 1,126 1,095 1,096 1,103 1,111 1,114 1,083 1,001 936 924 989 JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 2,442 2,324 2,290 2,331 2,307 2,266 2,141 2,010 1,961 1,949 2,098 Junior High School Percent Change -3.71%-4.83%-1.46%1.79%-1.03%-1.78%-5.52%-6.12%-2.44%-0.61%7.64% Junior High School Absolute Change -94 -118 -34 41 -24 -41 -125 -131 -49 -12 149 CLEMENS HS 2,700 3,300 2,563 2,576 2,550 2,469 2,419 2,397 2,400 2,418 2,383 2,292 2,183 STEELE HS 2,160 3,200 2,700 2,688 2,663 2,541 2,452 2,411 2,345 2,330 2,202 2,113 2,038 ALSELC 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 155 HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS 5,418 5,419 5,368 5,165 5,026 4,963 4,900 4,903 4,740 4,560 4,376 High School Percent Change 0.73%0.02%-0.94%-3.78%-2.69%-1.25%-1.27%0.06%-3.32%-3.80%-4.04% High School Absolute Change 39 1 -51 -203 -139 -63 -63 3 -163 -180 -184 DISTRICT TOTALS 15,146 14,864 14,661 14,451 14,217 14,073 14,007 14,017 14,036 14,059 14,162 District Percent Change -2.42%-1.86%-1.37%-1.43%-1.62%-1.01%-0.47%0.07%0.14%0.16%0.73% District Absolute Change -375 -282 -203 -210 -234 -144 -66 10 19 22 103 19 Key Takeaways Enrollment in Schertz Cibolo ISD decreased by -2.4% since 2022/23 Enrollment declines related to Charter expansions and lower Kindergarten enrollments 3rd quarter new home starts bounce back to 241 starts highest in the past year The district has 24 actively building subdivisions with more than 1,800 lots available to build on SCUCISD has 8 future subdivisions with over 6,900 lots in the planning stages Groundwork is underway on more than 1,000 lots across the district Larger graduating classes verses smaller Kindergarten classes leading to decrease in overall enrollment District enrollment near 14,000 students in 2028/29 school year 15,146 14,073 14,162 13,000 13,500 14,000 14,500 15,000 15,500 16,000 16,500 Enrollment Projections PLANNING AND ZONING COMMISSION MEETING: 04/03/2024 Agenda Item 7 A TO:Planning and Zoning Commission PREPARED BY:Daisy Marquez, Planner SUBJECT:Current Projects and City Council Status Update BACKGROUND DEVELOPMENT INFORMATION The following is being provided for information purposes only so that the Planning and Zoning Commission is aware of the current status of new site plan applications, status of applications heard by the Commission and recommended for final action by the City Council, and the status of administratively approved applications. NEW SITE PLAN APPLICATIONS: The following site plan development application was submitted between March 1, 2024 and March 28, 2024. Big League Schertz A proposed 5,317 sqft Automatic Carwash with vacuum bays on 17969 IH 35 N. CITY COUNCIL RESULTS: Ord. 24-S-04 - Conduct a public hearing and consider amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 16 - Definitions. Recommended for approval at the February 7, 2024 P&Z Meeting Approved on first reading at the March 5, 2024, CC Meeting Approved on second reading at the March 19, 2024, CC meeting Ord. 24-S-05 - Conduct a public hearing and consider a request to rezone approximately 26.11 acres of land from Single-Family Residential / Agricultural District (R-A) to General Business District (GB), a portion of 11209 E FM 1518 generally located 600ft northwest of the intersection of Lisa Meadows and FM 1518, City of Schertz Bexar County, Texas, also known as Bexar County Property Identification Number 308363. Recommended for approval at the February 7, 2024 P&Z Meeting Approved on first reading at the March 5, 2024, CC Meeting Approved on second reading at the March 19, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-06 - Conduct a public hearing and consider amendments to the City of Schertz Comprehensive Plan. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 P&Z Meeting Approved on first reading at the March 19, 2024, CC Meeting Scheduled for second reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-08 Conduct a public hearing and consider a request to rezone approximately 44.3 acres of land from Single-Family Residential District (R-2) to Planned Development District (PDD), known as Guadalupe County Property Identification Number 6460, located approximately 78 feet south of the intersection of Savannah Drive and Irish Creek Road, City of Schertz, Guadalupe County, Texas. Recommended for denial at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-A-10 - Conduct a public hearing and consider an ordinance on a petition for voluntary annexation of approximately 7-acres, a portion of Bexar County Property Identification Number 339286, also known as 8215 Trainer Hale Road, City of Schertz, Bexar County, Texas. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-09 – Conduct a public hearing and consider a request to rezone approximately 7.7 acres of land, a portion of Bexar County Property Identification Number 339286, to Single-Family Residential District (R-1), also known as 8215 Trainer Hale Road, City of Schertz, Bexar County, Texas. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-11 – Conduct a public hearing and consider a request to rezone approximately 3.6 acres of land from Single-Family Residential District (R-1) to Neighborhood Services District (NS), known as Guadalupe County Property Identification Number 42797, more specifically described as 3517 FM 3009, City of Schertz, Guadalupe County, Texas. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-12 – Conduct a public hearing and consider a request to rezone approximately 11.7 acres of land from General Business District (GB) to General Business District-2 (GB-2), known as Comal County Property Identification Numbers 78053 and 116266, Guadalupe County Property Identification Numbers 68327, 68329, 114080, and 114082 generally located 500 feet west of the intersection of FM 2252 and IH-35 Frontage Road, City of Schertz, Guadalupe and Comal County, Texas. Recommended for denial at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-13 – Conduct a public hearing and consider a request for a Specific Use Permit to allow Portable Building Sales in General Business District-2 (GB-2) on approximately 11.7 acres of land known as Comal County Property Identification Numbers 78053 and 116266, Guadalupe County Property Identification Numbers 68327, 68329, 114080, and 114082, generally located 500 feet west of the intersection of FM 2252 and IH-35 Frontage Road, City of Schertz, Guadalupe and Comal County, Texas. Recommended for denial at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-14 - Conduct a public hearing and consider amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 1 - General Provisions, Article 4 - Procedures and Applications, and Article 14 - Transportation. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-15 - Conduct a public hearing and consider amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 5 - Zoning District and Article 9 - Site Design Standards in relation to Public Use District (PUB) height requirements. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-16 - Conduct a public hearing and consider amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 5 - Zoning District and Article 16 – Definitions in relation to Mixed-Use Self Storage. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting Ord. 24-S-17 - Conduct a public hearing and consider amendments to Part III of the Schertz Code of Ordinances, Unified Development Code (UDC) to Article 5 - Zoning District in relation to Automobile Sales. Recommended for approval at the March 6, 2024 with modifications Scheduled for first reading at the April 2, 2024, CC Meeting ADMINISTRATIVELY APPROVED PROJECTS: The following applications were administratively approved between March 1, 2024 and March 28, 2024. Schertz Business Park Subdivision Lot 35 Block 1 Replat - 3/21/24 Replat of Schertz Business Park Subdivision Lots 23 and 24 Block 1 and Schertz Business Park Subdivision Lots 31 and 32 Block 1, to establish Schertz Business Park Lot 35 Block 1; approximately 2.7 acres, also known as 27 Commercial Place.